How Marcet works
Marcet launches prediction markets paired to coins that already live on Arc. You paste a contract address, attach a Yes/No question, and trade the book. Marcet does not mint tokens, run a curve, or sell the coin.
Overview
Marcet is the first prediction market on Arc. You pair a Yes/No question to a coin that already lives on Arc. The token stays on Arc. The book lives here. You never buy or sell that coin from this interface — you trade whether the event happens.
Launchers write the question. Traders take Yes or No. Creators earn a cut of the book they open. Marcet does not mint tokens, run a curve, or custody funds. Your wallet signs. The desk quotes the outcome.
What is live
Marcet is live on Arc. Connect a wallet, paste an Arc CA, write the question, and sign. Yes/No books open on that pair. Wallet connect is real. Your wallet signs every launch and fill.
- Test-NetConnecting a walletMetaMask, EIP-1193, on Arc.
- Test-NetLaunching a marketAnyone with a connected wallet can pair an Arc coin and open a book.
- Test-NetYes/No tradingBuy Yes or No on any book from a connected wallet.
- Test-NetArc quotes and progressMarket cap, price, and tape for the paired coin when available.
- NeverSpot buy / sell of the Arc tokenTrade that coin on Arc. Marcet does not quote it.
- OffSimulated activity / ranks tapeFake fills and leaderboards are paused until mainnet.
- Not yetOn-chain market broadcast from MarcetThe hook that submits from this interface is not attached.
- Not yetOracle resolutionQuestions are paired in the UI. Automatic resolution is not attached.
- Not yetComment threadsNo on-chain source and no database.
Launching
A Marcet launch is three steps: paste an Arc CA, write the question, sign. You do not deploy an ERC-20, and you do not name or ticker a token. Those already live on Arc. If you create the market, you earn 1% of the Yes/No volume generated on that book. The book opens the moment you sign.
Who can launch: connect a wallet and pair a question. Anyone can trade Yes and No on books other people create.
- Who can launch
- Anyone
- Arc contract
- Required
- Question
- Required
- Creator fee rewards
- 1% of volume
- Launch fee
- 0.0005 USDC
- Yes/No taker
- 1.00%
Connect a wallet and pair a question.
The existing token on Arc. Marcet pairs a book to it.
The Yes/No market. It opens when you sign.
If you created the market, you earn 1% of the Yes/No volume generated on that book.
Paid when a market broadcast is live. This UI only signs.
Charged on every Yes or No fill.
Arc coins
Every market is paired to an Arc coin. Chart, market cap, and tape on a Marcet page are that coin's context, not a trade ticket. Marcet only quotes Yes and No.
Markets
One desk: Yes / No. Yes pays $1 if the event happens. No pays $1 if it does not. The question is written at launch and cannot be edited afterwards.
- The Arc CA is the pairing. Marcet does not mint, migrate, or sell that token.
- Yes and No open the moment the market is signed.
- Resolution is not automatic yet. The question is the narrative until an oracle is attached.
Fees
Spot venues still charge their own fees if you trade the token elsewhere. Those never pass through this UI.
Risks
- A Yes/No share can resolve to zero. Being early does not mean being right.
- The paired Arc coin can go to zero. That is not a Marcet position, but it is the story of the pair.
- Oracle gaps, sequencer downtime, and smart-contract bugs are part of the surface.
- This interface is not an official Circle product. Arc is the settlement layer, not the operator.
FAQ
Do I launch a new coin?
No. You pair an existing Arc contract and launch the prediction.
Who can launch a market?
Anyone with a connected wallet. Pair an Arc coin, write the question, and sign.
Can I trade Yes/No?
Yes. Open a live book and buy Yes or No from a connected wallet.
Do I earn fees as a creator?
Yes. If you created the market, you earn 1% of the Yes/No volume generated on that book.
Can I buy the token here?
No. Spot lives on Arc DEXes. Marcet only quotes Yes and No.
Does Marcet custody anything?
No. Your wallet signs. Marcet never holds keys or funds.
Disclaimer
Nothing on Marcet is investment advice, a solicitation, or an offer of a security or derivative in any jurisdiction. Arc tokens are experimental. Prediction markets can return zero. Read the terms and privacy policy before you connect a wallet.
Built for Arc (chain 5042). Not investment advice. @marcet
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